143rd Belmont Stakes: What will be the Post Position of the Winning Horse?

8 to 4, seems like an obvious choice and the SM is hoping you bite!

First off, eliminate the 2, 3, 7 and 11 horses as they have NO chance, repeat none! Now we’re down to 5 to 3.

Knock out the 6 and the 12 because of the distance (the Belmont is the longest of the Triple Crown races) – the 6 was gassed at the end of the Derby and the 12 couldn’t hold the lead in the Derby and barely held on in the Preakness (the Preakness is the shortest).

Now 4 to 2. The 1, 4 and 5 horses are receiving love to pull the upset but that’s only because you can’t win money betting on the favorites so people are looking at these three for middle-of-the-road odds and increased payouts. Plus, the distance suits them better, but all three of these horses ran against the 9 in the Derby and weren’t that close, so don’t expect anything to change in this race.

This leaves the 8 against the 9 and the 10. The 8 is the wild card as it has not raced in the first two legs – this could give it the edge to pull off the upset but I just don’t think you can pin your hopes on winning this pick on it. Most have also given up on the 10 for several reasons, but most also gave up on the 12 before it won the Preakness, so part of me has a feeling the 10 may pull it out. I don’t think it will but even if it does then you still win.

Only the 9 is left, Animal Kingdom – the Derby winner and Preakness runner-up. The odds are on this horse to win and I expect just that to happen. The only horse to beat the 9 is the 12 but the distance will be too much for it to overcome (even if it does you still win).

The 9 horse, Animal Kingdom will win this race…GUARANTEED, LOCK of the DAY!!! Betting tip – 9, 1, 5 and 4 for the Superfecta

Pick: Winner from Post Position 9-12

NHL – Vancouver Canucks @ Boston Bruins

The Boston Bruins looks to ride the offensive surge started in the 2nd period of Game Three, as they take on the Western Conference Champion Vancouver Canucks in the 4th Game of the Stanley Cup Finals. A suspension-worthy hit on Boston’s Nathan Horton seems to have awakened the sleeping bruin within the Boston team. Boston found the back of the net four times in each of the last two quarters of Game 3 to cruise to a dominating 8-1 victory.

The first two games of the series were very evenly matched, with a 1-0 Vancouver win decided in the final 18 seconds of Game 1, and a 3-2 Canucks victory in overtime. However, the third game of the series showed a huge awakening for the underdog Bruins. Admittedly, Horton was a significant contributor to the Bruins post-season success, and his injury lit a fire behind the club, as they went on to score 8 goals against arguably the world’s best goalkeeper in Roberto Luongo. Tim Thomas has dominated the net throughout the season and in this series, and had 40 saves in Game 3, allowing only one goal in garbage time. The Bruins offense seems to have got into Luongo’s head. Interesting fact: Tim Thomas has allowed 4 goals in the series, and Roberto Luongo has allowed 4 goals in a period – twice.

The Bruins seem to have Vancouver figured out after making a statement in Game 3’s win. The Canucks have made a series of questionably-unsportsmanlike plays in the series, and the Bruins made it clear that their revenge will come through their play on the ice. Watch for the Bruins to take Game 4 by 2+ goals to even the series as they continue their offensive surge. With Thomas in net and the Bruins on an offensive tear, I can’t see the ‘Nucks holding the lead in this series after Game 4.

Pick: Boston Bruins Win

NHL – Vancouver Canuks @ Boston Bruins

This is my first writeup on the Bruins, Canucks matchup. So what has changed since the below?

“Coming into the playoffs the Vancouver Canucks were probably the best team in hockey and they probably still are. The Canucks are 1st in Goals Scored, 1st in Goals Against, 1st in Power Play % and 3rd in Penalty Kill %. Compare that to the Boston Bruins who were 5th in Goals, 2nd in Goals against, 20th in Power Plays and 16th in Penalty kills.

Vancouver is cruising in the playoffs so far this  year. After a tough first series against the defending Champion Chicago Blackhawks, the Canucks won in 6 against Nashville, and 5 against a very, very good San Jose squad. Vancouver has even won 7 of their last 9 playoff games and has seemingly gotten stronger the further into the playoffs they have pushed. Vancouver has the offense to score when needed, and the defense to shut down opponents so they can control the tempo and pace of the game.

The Boston Bruins have just emerged by the skin of their teeth winning in 7 games against the Tampa Bay Lightning in the Conference Finals. Boston is actually 2-2 in their last 4 and is hardly on a roll. They are a bit banged up with several players health being a question mark and they have benefited from some inspired play of some young players. Boston has also struggled on the road lately going 1-2 in their last 3 road games.

Vancouver is the odds on favorite in this series and many are even picking the Canucks to sweep the Bruins. I don’t think this series will end in a sweep but the way that the Canucks are playing entering play and the fact that they will have home ice advantage does lead me to believe they will take the opener.”

Well, what then has changed? Vancouver leads the series 2-0 but Boston looked very good in game two and really impressed me. Boston should have a fair amount of confidence going into this one, they probably should have won game 2. Now heading home I think Boston will keep the series interesting picking up a win. I still think that Vancouver is the better team and will win the series but it’s hard to argue with Boston’s great play in game 2 and returning to home ice should be the catalyst for turning a solid performance into a W.

Pick: Boston Bruins

NHL – Boston Bruins @ Vancouver Canucks

Absolutely nothing has changed in this matchup since I wrote the below preview a few days ago.

“Coming into the playoffs the Vancouver Canucks were probably the best team in hockey and they probably still are. The Canucks are 1st in Goals Scored, 1st in Goals Against, 1st in Power Play % and 3rd in Penalty Kill %. Compare that to the Boston Bruins who were 5th in Goals, 2nd in Goals against, 20th in Power Plays and 16th in Penalty kills.

Vancouver is cruising in the playoffs so far this  year. After a tough first series against the defending Champion Chicago Blackhawks, the Canucks won in 6 against Nashville, and 5 against a very, very good San Jose squad. Vancouver has even won 7 of their last 9 playoff games and has seemingly gotten stronger the further into the playoffs they have pushed. Vancouver has the offense to score when needed, and the defense to shut down opponents so they can control the tempo and pace of the game.

The Boston Bruins have just emerged by the skin of their teeth winning in 7 games against the Tampa Bay Lightning in the Conference Finals. Boston is actually 2-2 in their last 4 and is hardly on a roll. They are a bit banged up with several players health being a question mark and they have benefited from some inspired play of some young players. Boston has also struggled on the road lately going 1-2 in their last 3 road games.

Vancouver is the odds on favorite in this series and many are even picking the Canucks to sweep the Bruins. I don’t think this series will end in a sweep but the way that the Canucks are playing entering play and the fact that they will have home ice advantage does lead me to believe they will take the opener.”

Well a few things have changed. Vancouver has now won 8 of their last 10 games, Vancouver completely shut down Boston in Game 1 and won 1-0. Boston’s struggles have continued and they are now 2-3 over their last 5 games and 1-3 in their last 4 road games. I feel the exact same way as I did about the previous review. I don’t think Vancouver will sweep Boston but at home and on a roll I just don’t see Vancouver losing. I could be wrong, it wouldn’t be the first time, but I would be very surprised if Boston took Game 2.

Pick: Vancouver Canucks

NHL – Boston Bruins @ Vancouver Canucks

Coming into the playoffs the Vancouver Canucks were probably the best team in hockey and they probably still are. The Canucks are 1st in Goals Scored, 1st in Goals Against, 1st in Power Play % and 3rd in Penalty Kill %. Compare that to the Boston Bruins who were 5th in Goals, 2nd in Goals against, 20th in Power Plays and 16th in Penalty kills.

 

Vancouver is cruising in the playoffs so far this  year. After a tough first series against the defending Champion Chicago Blackhawks, the Canucks won in 6 against Nashville, and 5 against a very, very good San Jose squad. Vancouver has even won 7 of their last 9 playoff games and has seemingly gotten stronger the further into the playoffs they have pushed. Vancouver has the offense to score when needed, and the defense to shut down opponents so they can control the tempo and pace of the game.

 

The Boston Bruins have just emerged by the skin of their teeth winning in 7 games against the Tampa Bay Lightning in the Conference Finals. Boston is actually 2-2 in their last 4 and is hardly on a roll. They are a bit banged up with several players health being a question mark and they have benefited from some inspired play of some young players. Boston has also struggled on the road lately going 1-2 in their last 3 road games.

 

Vancouver is the odds on favorite in this series and many are even picking the Canucks to sweep the Bruins. I don’t think this series will end in a sweep but the way that the Canucks are playing entering play and the fact that they will have home ice advantage does lead me to believe they will take the opener.

 

Pick: Vancouver Canucks

NCAA – Softball – Stanford vs Alabama

The same argument as the first game goes along with this game as well.  If Alabama really is going to win by 3 or more runs, they’re going to have to get pretty lucky facing these pitchers.  Everyone is good.  Softball isn’t THAT hard to pitch well because they’re so close to you.  They still have more of an advantage because they are ranked pretty high and have had a great season, but anything can happen when pitchers are trying to just avoid solo home runs.

Pick: Any Other Result

NCAA – Softball – Oregon vs Florida

Yesterday I tried to find good reason to pick 3+ runs by looking at their stats and trying to convince myself I actually cared about women’s softball.  Today, I’m going to lay it to you straight.  Winning by 3+ runs in this tournament is pure luck, and as you saw yesterday, both of the better ranked teams lost.  The luck of hitting a softball well is incredible and not to mention a few batters in a row.  With that, I’m going to say it has to be any other result based purely on the fact that these pitchers are the best of the best.  They let up about 2 runs a game and pitch every inning.

Pick: Any Other Result