MLB – Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

Let’s just look at the pitching matchup here:

Ian Kennedy, 7-2 with a 2.98 ERA. He should have had the win last week, but ended up with a no decision, so technically 7-2.

Jeff Francis: 3-7, 4.83 ERA.

Ian Kennedy: one ugly game with nine earned runs back in April, but in his 15 starts, 12 games with three or less earned runs.

Jeff Francis: In his 15 starts, nine games with three or less earned runs.

Ian Kennedy: Strikeouts: 85

Jeff Francis: Strikeouts: 43

Ian Kennedy: One of the 15 starts, pitched four innings or less (April 13 vs. St. Louis)

Jeff Francis: Three of the 15 starts, pitched four innings or less (April 22 at Texas, April 27 at Cleveland and June 16 at Oakland).

Ian Kennedy: History against KC: no decision in September, 2007. Pitched five innings, allowed seven hits, two earned runs, walked three and struck out two.

Jeff Francis: Started against Arizona six times, is 0-5 with a no-decision. Last start against the Diamondbacks: September 23, 2010, pitched 3.2 innings, allowed six hits, including a home run, three earned runs, three walks and four strikeouts in the loss. The pitcher that started for Arizona? Ian Kennedy.

This is the second game of a three-game series in Kansas City. The Diamondbacks took the first game last night, 7-2. Don’t be shocked if they take this game, too.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB – Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

The Tigers haven’t been swept since May (they lost a two-game series at Boston May 18-19); the last three game series they lost was April 29-May 1 at Cleveland. They have now lost two against the Dodgers (as many who picked the late game the past two nights know) and are trying to avoid being swept.

During interleague in May, the Tigers lost the first two at Pittsburgh. Over the weekend, they lost the first two at Colorado. Perhaps a trend is in place?

Rick Porcello had a terrible outing on Friday against Colorado, only pitching through three innings, allowing nine hits and eight earned runs, including a home run. He had zero strikeouts and his ERA ballooned to 4.18 (from 3.61). Porcello is 6-5 on the season, and he has lost his past two starts. He does allow a lot of hits – in his 13 starts, he only has two games where he has allowed three or fewer hits. However, in eight of those starts, he’s allowed only two earned runs or less. The danger with Porcello is he has given up nine home runs this season.

Porcello did face the Dodgers as a rookie, on May 23 last year. He pitched six innings, allowed nine hits, two earned runs, had two walks and two strikeouts in the win.

The Dodgers, meanwhile are looking to win four in a row for the first time this season. Ted Lilly will take the mound. Regardless of whether or not Lilly got the win or the loss, the Dodgers have alternated wins and losses each time Lilly starts, dating back to April 2 this season. He last pitched against Houston and took the loss. In that game, he gave up eight hits and five earned runs in 5.1 innings. He’s 5-6 on the season with a 4.26 ERA.

Lilly last faced the Tigers in June 2009, where he took the loss, after allowing ten hits, including two home runs and six earned runs in six innings.

Detroit is the better team here and the Dodgers have not swept a team at all this season.

Pick: Detroit Tigers