MLB – Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers returned home after getting embarrassed by the Red Sox on Sunday with a 12-3 loss. They then lost to Tampa Bay last night, 8-4. Zach Greinke looks to turn things around for the Brew Crew. He’s 6-2 on the year, but has a high 5.23 ERA (his career average is 3.88). His ERA rose after his last outing, where he only was able to pitch through 5.1 innings and allowed six earned runs (plus two unearned due to errors) in the loss against the Cubs.

Prior to that, however, he had won his previous four starts and in those four games, hadn’t allowed more than three earned runs. He does have 70 strikeouts on the year and has been consistently posting good numbers in that category. He has faced B.J. Upton and Evan Longoria before, and kept them to a .188 and .154 batting average, respectively (in 16 and 13 at-bats).

Tampa Bay is on a four-game winning streak (sweeping the struggling Marlins and winning the first game in Milwaukee). Rookie Jeremy Hellickson is 7-5 on the year with a 3.09 ERA. He is coming off two losses, at Baltimore and vs. Boston. Against Baltimore, he allowed a season-high five earned runs on seven hits, including two home runs. He also only struck out two in both of those losses.

Matt Joyce sat out the first game of this three game series, but he should be back tonight. In June, he is only batting .143 with one home run. As the Rays’ leader in batting average, homeruns and OPS, he needs to turn the offense around if the team wants to keep winning, especially against good pitchers such as Greinke. Maybe the day off will help, but the Brew Crew hasn’t lost more than two in a row since their seven-game losing streak April 30-May 6. Go with the Brewers tonight.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

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