143rd Belmont Stakes: What will be the Post Position of the Winning Horse?

8 to 4, seems like an obvious choice and the SM is hoping you bite!

First off, eliminate the 2, 3, 7 and 11 horses as they have NO chance, repeat none! Now we’re down to 5 to 3.

Knock out the 6 and the 12 because of the distance (the Belmont is the longest of the Triple Crown races) – the 6 was gassed at the end of the Derby and the 12 couldn’t hold the lead in the Derby and barely held on in the Preakness (the Preakness is the shortest).

Now 4 to 2. The 1, 4 and 5 horses are receiving love to pull the upset but that’s only because you can’t win money betting on the favorites so people are looking at these three for middle-of-the-road odds and increased payouts. Plus, the distance suits them better, but all three of these horses ran against the 9 in the Derby and weren’t that close, so don’t expect anything to change in this race.

This leaves the 8 against the 9 and the 10. The 8 is the wild card as it has not raced in the first two legs – this could give it the edge to pull off the upset but I just don’t think you can pin your hopes on winning this pick on it. Most have also given up on the 10 for several reasons, but most also gave up on the 12 before it won the Preakness, so part of me has a feeling the 10 may pull it out. I don’t think it will but even if it does then you still win.

Only the 9 is left, Animal Kingdom – the Derby winner and Preakness runner-up. The odds are on this horse to win and I expect just that to happen. The only horse to beat the 9 is the 12 but the distance will be too much for it to overcome (even if it does you still win).

The 9 horse, Animal Kingdom will win this race…GUARANTEED, LOCK of the DAY!!! Betting tip – 9, 1, 5 and 4 for the Superfecta

Pick: Winner from Post Position 9-12

MLB – Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

This is the third game of a four-game series, in which Detroit won the first one 4-1 and Seattle won the second one 3-2. The two teams have played two series already this season, with Detroit winning two of three at Seattle April 18-20 and Seattle winning all three at Detroit April 26-28.

Seattle has the worst batting average of the entire American League with .228. They have the third-fewest home runs in the AL. The player on their team with the highest batting average is Brendan Ryan at .255, with Ichiro Suzuki batting just .252. Detroit, meanwhile, has won nine of its last 12 games. Brennan Boesch has been on fire. He’s batting .448 over the past seven days with four home runs.

Seattle’s Michael Pineda is 6-3 and he did pitch well the last time he faced Detroit on April 28. He got the win and pitched six innings, only allowing four hits and two runs while walking three and striking out nine. Max Scherzer is 7-2 and he last faced Seattle in his first start of the 2011 season on April 18. He earned the win, allowing six hits and two runs in six innings. He also struck out seven and walked four. He does have a 1.49 WHIP and a 4.68 ERA, however, Seattle hasn’t shown they have the offense to take advantage of his weakness.

While the pitching matchup may be even, the bats are not.

Pick: Detroit Tigers

MLB – Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

John Lackey returns to the scene of his most recent demise when the Boston Red Sox continue their weekend jaunt across the border with the Toronto Blue Jays.  Brandon Morrow is Lackey’s scheduled opponent in the Saturday matinee at Rogers Centre..

The better value in on the Blue Jays on Saturday afternoon.  Back in late April, John Lackey had a three-game run where it looked like he might be turning things around. But after watching his last three starts, it’s safe to say Boston is not getting their money’s worth.  Lackey has been tagged for 20 earned runs and 32 base runners in his last three starts, spanning just 16 1/3 IP, for an 11.04 ERA & 1.96 WHIP. Making matters even worse, while he’s allowed 10 free passes, Lackey has just 4 strikeouts, or just over 2 punchouts for every 9 IP!  Hard to imagine the righthander’s numbers will get much better in this one.  Lackey was destroyed by the Jays just a couple of starts ago, and he has been smacked for 31 earned runs and 58 base runners in just 29 2/3 innings in his last five starts against the Jays. Brandon Morrow isn’t exactly challenging for Cy Young status, but the righty has posted strong career numbers at Rogers Centre.  Morrow also owns a 3.75 ERA in eight home appearances against the Red Sox, much better than his numbers at Fenway.

Pick: Blue Jays