Soccer- New England Revolution @ New York Red Bulls

In the 3rd Soccer match of the day we travel back to the United States for a MLS Game between New England and New York.  This is another interesting prop that involves Win by 2+ and W/L by 1 or Draw…..oh joy!!!!! In the earlier match today the team with Win/Lose by 1 or draw option(Drogheda who has 13 losses this yr) actually won the match and made my pick look really bad. Let go inside the numbers shall we….

New England Revolution

Overall Record:  3-4-6

On the Road:  0-2-4

Last 5:  1-1-3

Losses by 2+:  1

New York Red Bulls

Overall Record:  4-7-2

At Home:  3-3-1

Last 5:   0-4-1

Wins by 2+:  2

Both Teams have hit a rough patch in the season with only New England posting a win in each teams last 5 games.  Both teams seem to draw a good bit plus  New York is coming off a Tie against Cellar Dweller Vancouver.  Last weekend’s match between DC United and LA Galaxy was the same exact prop and ended in a 0-0 tie which bodes well for the Revolution. Like always if you have a good streak stay away but this one could be one that I may even risk a streak on.

Pick:  New England Win, Lose by 1 or Draw

 

MLB – Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

The Red Sox have been absolutely on fire, sweeping the Yankees handily at Yankee Stadium over the past three nights. After a slow April, the bats have heated up for Boston. When the Sox first met the Blue Jays at Fenway, they had a 2-9 record and took three of the four games played.

Jo-Jo Reyes (2-4) pitched in one of the losses for Toronto (although he only made it through three innings). On May 10, the Sox headed up to Toronto for a two-game series, in which they lost both. Buchholz didn’t pitch, however, as he was saved for the Yankees the following game (and got the win).

Clay Buchholz is 4-3 on the season with a 3.82 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. He pitched in the one game that the Red Sox lost to the Blue Jays in Boston, although he pitched five innings and when he left the mound, the score was 3-2 Red Sox.

Jo-Jo Reyes had a 28-game streak where he didn’t earn a win prior to May 30th’s win against Cleveland. He has since won two (the second June 5 against Baltimore), but the Blue Jays don’t have the offense that the Red Sox do. Currently the Sox rank second in the MLB in runs, batting average and on-base percentage. They are first in slugging percentage. While they are going hit a slump again at some point, it’s not going to start tonight against the Blue Jays.

Pick: Boston Red Sox

MLB – Cleveland Indians (34-26) at NY Yankees (33-26)

To start the season Cleveland was off to a fast start but they have begun a slow decline.  They have dropped 6 of their last 7 games and are in need of some victories to prove the fast start was for real.  Cleveland has scored four runs or less in 7 straight and have been shut out 2 times with the only victory being a 1-0 decision over Minnesota on Tuesday. Their pitching has been just ok in that span putting forth a few games they could have won.  In tonight’s match up Fausto Carmona will face the New York Yankees, where he has had problems with control in the strike zone. This has hurt him as he has been touched for seven homeruns in this stretch and is riding a four game losing streak.

The Yankees must be happy they won’t be facing Boston tonight after the Red Sox destroyed the surging Yanks by sweeping them in front of the home crowd. Before the series with Boston the Yankees had won 6 of 7 games and if you don’t count the games vs Boston New York has generally gotten solid performances at the plate and on the mound.  Young Right hander Ivan Nova is on the mound tonight and he will try to end this 3 game losing streak.  Nova pitched well against the Angles, but consistency and a lack of experience are probably two things he lacks the most as he can be hit and has had a mix of good, poor and mediocre starts in 2011.The Yankees offense has bailed him out more than once and he can be hard on the bull pen if he isn’t throwing well.

Even though Nova can be unpredictable Carmona has gone through one of the most difficult stretches of his career. Cleveland desperately needs him to right the ship especially with runs at a premium.  This match up is important to both teams and if the pitching for both teams struggle than it comes down to which offense has more potential to score and I feel it’s the Yankees which is why they are good sized favorites with the young pitcher going.

Pick: New York Yankees

Prop – Soccer – Drogheda United @ Dundalk FC

In the second soccer match of the day we get a treat from the Irish Premier League.  Drogheda United takes on Dundalk FC for the second time this year(Dundalk won 2-1 at Drogheda). What makes this match enticing is that Drogheda has the Win/Lose by 1 or Draw option which usually is a good pick on the streak but let’s breakdown the numbers real quick…..

Drogheda United

Overall Record:  1-2-13

On the Road:  1-0-7

Last 5:  1-0-4

Losses by 2+:  6

Dundalk FC

Overall Record:  7-4-4

At Home:  3-4-0

Last 5:  4-0-1

Wins by 2+:  2

This is one time I really feel confident that the team with only the win option would win but of course we have the Win by 2+ choice.  Looking at their records and even their first match this year(Dundalk 2-1 at Drogheda) it seems like the Win/L by 1 or Draw seems like the choice but like ESPN Legend Lee Corso says ” Not So Fast My Friend.”  Drogheda has played absolutely awful this year with only one win over the last place team and has been beaten by 2 a half dozen times.  That beng said, stay away unless you don’t have a streak and if you take this I would say go with the better team this time.

Pick:  Dundalk FC Win by 2+

Soccer – Spartak Nalchik @ Anzhi Makhachkala

This morning we have an early match from not Russian Division 1 but the Russian Premier League!!!! This is the top tier league in Russia and we have another tough match to pick.  Anzhi is currently in 3rd position while Spartak is in 15th position in the league.  Lets look at the numbers because this match seems really similar to the soccer picks of late…..

Spartak Nalchik

Overall Record:  1-6-4

On the Road: 0-3-2

Last 5:  0-4-1

Anzhi Makhachkala

Overall Record:  5-4-2

At Home:  3-3-0

Last 5:  3-1-1

After the match yesterday between Sleipner vs IF Sylvia it seemed like as close to lock in soccer as you can get but boy I was wrong after that debacle ended.  That being said, I feel that Anzhi could win this match seeing how they are the better team but looking at their records they both seem to draw quite a bit and that makes me feel that Spartak could pull off a draw.  Remember to be careful with this match because most of us aren’t familiar with Russian soccer and if you have any kind of streak even a W1 you probably could find a better pick but when in doubt go with the team with the draw option.
Pick: Spartak Nalchik  Win/Draw

 

Golf – Kim vs Goosen – Lower 2nd Round

Again, the only main difference between Anthony Kim and Retief Goosen has been the number of events played.  Kim nearly doubles Goosen in rounds played.  Here comes the stats.

Anthony Kim: 75
2010: Did Not Play
2009: Did Not Play
2008: Did Not Play
Average: 75

Retief Goosen: 68
2010: 72/68/68/68
2009: 68/67/71/70
2008: 75/78 – CUT
Average: 70.27

Anthony Kim clearly hasn’t had the experience at this course that he needs.  Goosen has played here well as of late, scoring a 68 in his last 4 rounds there.  Given those odds, and the fact that Kim played terribly yesterday, I’d say Goosen’s consistent basis will be shown today.

Pick: Retief Goosen

Golf – Bohn vs Trahan – Lower Front 9

These two golfers have almost identical seasons going on right now. In fact, they both carry a 71.4 scoring average throughout this season. Let’s cut to the chase in this week’s St. Jude Classic.

Jason Bohn: 35
2010: Did Not Play
2009: 36/35/34/36
2008: Did Not Play
Average: 35.2

D.J. Trahan: 36
2010: 35/32/36/34
2009: 34/34 – CUT
2008: Did Not Play
Average: 34.43

Another week that we have a Par 35 9 holes, which makes these picks very difficult to call.  The Tie is an incredible advantage having such a tough 9 to score on.

Pick: Jason Bohn/Tie